N1WG34 (Brazil) Market Value

N1WG34 Stock  BRL 62.82  0.42  0.66%   
N1WG34's market value is the price at which a share of N1WG34 trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of N1WG34 investors about its performance. N1WG34 is trading at 62.82 as of the 18th of December 2024, a 0.66% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 63.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of N1WG34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in N1WG34 over a given investment horizon. Check out N1WG34 Correlation, N1WG34 Volatility and N1WG34 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on N1WG34.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between N1WG34's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if N1WG34 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, N1WG34's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

N1WG34 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to N1WG34's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of N1WG34.
0.00
05/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 25 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in N1WG34 on May 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding N1WG34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in N1WG34 over 570 days. N1WG34 is related to or competes with HSBC Holdings, Wells Fargo, Barclays PLC, BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Cable One, and ATMA Participaes. NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to personal, com... More

N1WG34 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure N1WG34's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess N1WG34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

N1WG34 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for N1WG34's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as N1WG34's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use N1WG34 historical prices to predict the future N1WG34's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.1462.8264.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.4250.1069.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.3061.9863.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.7257.7765.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as N1WG34. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against N1WG34's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, N1WG34's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in N1WG34.

N1WG34 Backtested Returns

N1WG34 appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. N1WG34 has Sharpe Ratio of 0.24, which conveys that the company had a 0.24% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for N1WG34, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please exercise N1WG34's downside deviation of 1.41, and Mean Deviation of 1.21 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, N1WG34 holds a performance score of 18. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0354, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning N1WG34 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, N1WG34 is likely to outperform the market. Please check N1WG34's treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether N1WG34's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

N1WG34 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between N1WG34 time series from 28th of May 2023 to 8th of March 2024 and 8th of March 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of N1WG34 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current N1WG34 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance71.21

N1WG34 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is N1WG34 stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting N1WG34's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of N1WG34 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that N1WG34 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

N1WG34 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If N1WG34 stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if N1WG34 stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in N1WG34 stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

N1WG34 Lagged Returns

When evaluating N1WG34's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of N1WG34 stock have on its future price. N1WG34 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, N1WG34 autocorrelation shows the relationship between N1WG34 stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in N1WG34.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in N1WG34 Stock

N1WG34 financial ratios help investors to determine whether N1WG34 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in N1WG34 with respect to the benefits of owning N1WG34 security.