N2TN34 (Brazil) Market Value

N2TN34 Stock   100.01  1.11  1.12%   
N2TN34's market value is the price at which a share of N2TN34 trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of N2TN34 investors about its performance. N2TN34 is trading at 100.01 as of the 18th of December 2024, a 1.12% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 98.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of N2TN34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in N2TN34 over a given investment horizon. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
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N2TN34 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to N2TN34's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of N2TN34.
0.00
05/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 25 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in N2TN34 on May 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding N2TN34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in N2TN34 over 570 days.

N2TN34 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure N2TN34's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess N2TN34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

N2TN34 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for N2TN34's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as N2TN34's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use N2TN34 historical prices to predict the future N2TN34's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as N2TN34. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against N2TN34's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, N2TN34's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in N2TN34.

N2TN34 Backtested Returns

N2TN34 appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. N2TN34 has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for N2TN34, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please exercise N2TN34's mean deviation of 1.73, and Downside Deviation of 4.42 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, N2TN34 holds a performance score of 10. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, N2TN34's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding N2TN34 is expected to be smaller as well. Please check N2TN34's maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether N2TN34's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

N2TN34 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between N2TN34 time series from 28th of May 2023 to 8th of March 2024 and 8th of March 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of N2TN34 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current N2TN34 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance106.15

N2TN34 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is N2TN34 stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting N2TN34's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of N2TN34 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that N2TN34 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

N2TN34 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If N2TN34 stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if N2TN34 stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in N2TN34 stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

N2TN34 Lagged Returns

When evaluating N2TN34's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of N2TN34 stock have on its future price. N2TN34 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, N2TN34 autocorrelation shows the relationship between N2TN34 stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in N2TN34.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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