National Australia Bank Stock Market Value

NABZY Stock  USD 13.10  0.23  1.79%   
National Australia's market value is the price at which a share of National Australia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of National Australia Bank investors about its performance. National Australia is trading at 13.10 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.79% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of National Australia Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in National Australia over a given investment horizon. Check out National Australia Correlation, National Australia Volatility and National Australia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on National Australia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between National Australia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Australia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Australia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

National Australia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Australia's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Australia.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in National Australia on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Australia Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Australia over 720 days. National Australia is related to or competes with China Construction, Bank of America, ANZ Group, Bank of America, Agricultural Bank, Svenska Handelsbanken, and National Australia. National Australia Bank Limited provides financial services to individuals and businesses in Australia, New Zealand, and... More

National Australia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Australia's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Australia Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

National Australia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Australia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Australia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Australia historical prices to predict the future National Australia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6912.9914.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5512.8514.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7513.0514.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1512.5913.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Australia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Australia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Australia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in National Australia Bank.

National Australia Bank Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider National Pink Sheet to be very steady. National Australia Bank has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0607, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0607% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for National Australia, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify National Australia's Downside Deviation of 1.6, risk adjusted performance of 0.0693, and Mean Deviation of 1.05 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0792%. National Australia has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.017, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning National Australia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, National Australia is likely to outperform the market. National Australia Bank right now secures a risk of 1.31%. Please verify National Australia Bank total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power , to decide if National Australia Bank will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

National Australia Bank has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Australia time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Australia Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current National Australia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.2

National Australia Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is National Australia pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting National Australia's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of National Australia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that National Australia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

National Australia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If National Australia pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if National Australia pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in National Australia pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

National Australia Lagged Returns

When evaluating National Australia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of National Australia pink sheet have on its future price. National Australia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, National Australia autocorrelation shows the relationship between National Australia pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in National Australia Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for National Pink Sheet Analysis

When running National Australia's price analysis, check to measure National Australia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Australia is operating at the current time. Most of National Australia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Australia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Australia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Australia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.