Nacon Sa (France) Market Value

NACON Stock  EUR 0.51  0.02  3.77%   
Nacon Sa's market value is the price at which a share of Nacon Sa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nacon Sa investors about its performance. Nacon Sa is selling at 0.51 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 3.77% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nacon Sa and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nacon Sa over a given investment horizon. Check out Nacon Sa Correlation, Nacon Sa Volatility and Nacon Sa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nacon Sa.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nacon Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nacon Sa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nacon Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nacon Sa 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nacon Sa's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nacon Sa.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nacon Sa on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nacon Sa or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nacon Sa over 720 days. Nacon Sa is related to or competes with Ubisoft Entertainment, DONTNOD Entertainment, Manitou BF, Ossiam Minimum, Ekinops SA, Orapi SA, and Memscap Regpt. Nacon S.A. designs and distributes gaming accessories in France and internationally More

Nacon Sa Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nacon Sa's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nacon Sa upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nacon Sa Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nacon Sa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nacon Sa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nacon Sa historical prices to predict the future Nacon Sa's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.533.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.513.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.483.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.440.630.82
Details

Nacon Sa Backtested Returns

Nacon Sa has Sharpe Ratio of -0.36, which conveys that the firm had a -0.36% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nacon Sa exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nacon Sa's Standard Deviation of 3.11, mean deviation of 2.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.27) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.49, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nacon Sa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nacon Sa is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nacon Sa has a negative expected return of -1.14%. Please make sure to verify Nacon Sa's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Nacon Sa performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

Nacon Sa has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nacon Sa time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nacon Sa price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Nacon Sa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Nacon Sa lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nacon Sa stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nacon Sa's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nacon Sa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nacon Sa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nacon Sa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nacon Sa stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nacon Sa stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nacon Sa stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nacon Sa Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nacon Sa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nacon Sa stock have on its future price. Nacon Sa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nacon Sa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nacon Sa stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nacon Sa.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Nacon Stock Analysis

When running Nacon Sa's price analysis, check to measure Nacon Sa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nacon Sa is operating at the current time. Most of Nacon Sa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nacon Sa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nacon Sa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nacon Sa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.