New China (Germany) Market Value

NCL Stock  EUR 2.76  0.26  8.61%   
New China's market value is the price at which a share of New China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of New China Life investors about its performance. New China is trading at 2.76 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 8.61 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of New China Life and determine expected loss or profit from investing in New China over a given investment horizon. Check out New China Correlation, New China Volatility and New China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on New China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between New China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to New China's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of New China.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in New China on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding New China Life or generate 0.0% return on investment in New China over 30 days. New China is related to or competes with Monster Beverage, DATAGROUP, DOCDATA, Datadog, Hyrican Informationssyst, TreeHouse Foods, and Fidelity National. More

New China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure New China's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess New China Life upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

New China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as New China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use New China historical prices to predict the future New China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.768.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.158.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.839.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.502.843.17
Details

New China Life Backtested Returns

New China is dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. New China Life has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down and interpolate twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.23% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use New China Life Downside Deviation of 5.73, mean deviation of 4.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1629 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. New China holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.99, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning New China are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, New China is expected to outperform it slightly. Use New China Life value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to analyze future returns on New China Life.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

New China Life has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between New China time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of New China Life price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current New China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

New China Life lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is New China stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting New China's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of New China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that New China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

New China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If New China stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if New China stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in New China stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

New China Lagged Returns

When evaluating New China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of New China stock have on its future price. New China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, New China autocorrelation shows the relationship between New China stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in New China Life.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in New Stock

New China financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New China security.