Nexans SA (France) Market Value

NEX Stock  EUR 105.70  3.30  3.03%   
Nexans SA's market value is the price at which a share of Nexans SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nexans SA investors about its performance. Nexans SA is trading at 105.70 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 3.03% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 109.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nexans SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nexans SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Nexans SA Correlation, Nexans SA Volatility and Nexans SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nexans SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nexans SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nexans SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nexans SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nexans SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nexans SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nexans SA.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nexans SA on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nexans SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nexans SA over 720 days. Nexans SA is related to or competes with Schneider Electric, Publicis Groupe, Pernod Ricard, Compagnie Generale, and Compagnie. Nexans S.A. provides cables and cabling solutions worldwide More

Nexans SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nexans SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nexans SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nexans SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nexans SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nexans SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nexans SA historical prices to predict the future Nexans SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.57109.00111.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.2296.65119.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.46105.89108.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.42123.41143.41
Details

Nexans SA Backtested Returns

Nexans SA has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0577, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0577% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nexans SA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nexans SA's Standard Deviation of 2.44, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.73 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nexans SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nexans SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nexans SA has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to verify Nexans SA's accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Nexans SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Nexans SA has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nexans SA time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nexans SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Nexans SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance327.17

Nexans SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nexans SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nexans SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nexans SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nexans SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nexans SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nexans SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nexans SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nexans SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nexans SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nexans SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nexans SA stock have on its future price. Nexans SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nexans SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nexans SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nexans SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nexans Stock

Nexans SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nexans Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nexans with respect to the benefits of owning Nexans SA security.