Northern Lights Resources Stock Market Value
| NLRCF Stock | USD 0.07 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Northern |
Northern Lights 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Lights' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Lights.
| 10/01/2025 |
| 12/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Lights on October 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Lights Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Lights over 90 days. Northern Lights Resources Corp. engages in the acquisition, evaluation, and exploration of mineral resource properties i... More
Northern Lights Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Lights' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Lights Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 10.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0734 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 49.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 24.8 |
Northern Lights Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Lights' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Lights' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Lights historical prices to predict the future Northern Lights' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0678 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7029 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0568 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (6.12) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Lights' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northern Lights Resources Backtested Returns
Northern Lights appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Northern Lights Resources has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Northern Lights' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.94% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Northern Lights' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0678, mean deviation of 3.99, and Downside Deviation of 10.89 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Northern Lights holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern Lights are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern Lights is likely to outperform the market. Please check Northern Lights' maximum drawdown and the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Northern Lights' current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Northern Lights Resources has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Lights time series from 1st of October 2025 to 15th of November 2025 and 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Lights Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Northern Lights price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Northern Lights Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Lights pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Lights' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Lights returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Lights has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northern Lights regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Lights pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Lights pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Lights pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northern Lights Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Lights' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Lights pink sheet have on its future price. Northern Lights autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Lights autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Lights pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Lights Resources.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Northern Pink Sheet
Northern Lights financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Lights security.