Nationwide Growth Fund Market Value

NMFAX Fund  USD 15.64  0.10  0.64%   
Nationwide Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Nationwide Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nationwide Growth Fund investors about its performance. Nationwide Growth is trading at 15.64 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.64% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nationwide Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nationwide Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Nationwide Growth Correlation, Nationwide Growth Volatility and Nationwide Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nationwide Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nationwide Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nationwide Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nationwide Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nationwide Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nationwide Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nationwide Growth.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nationwide Growth on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nationwide Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nationwide Growth over 30 days. Nationwide Growth is related to or competes with Nationwide Mid, Nationwide Small, Nationwide International, Nationwide Fund, and Nationwide Bond. The fund seeks to provide investors with long-term growth of capital by outperforming the SP 500 Index over a full marke... More

Nationwide Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nationwide Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nationwide Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nationwide Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nationwide Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nationwide Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nationwide Growth historical prices to predict the future Nationwide Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9415.6416.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7515.4516.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9815.6816.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1915.4615.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nationwide Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nationwide Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nationwide Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nationwide Growth.

Nationwide Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund to be very steady. Nationwide Growth has Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which conveys that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Nationwide Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Nationwide Growth's Downside Deviation of 0.8033, mean deviation of 0.5462, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.111 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.81, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nationwide Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nationwide Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Nationwide Growth Fund has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nationwide Growth time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nationwide Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Nationwide Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Nationwide Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nationwide Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nationwide Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nationwide Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nationwide Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nationwide Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nationwide Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nationwide Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nationwide Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nationwide Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nationwide Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nationwide Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Nationwide Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nationwide Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nationwide Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nationwide Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund

Nationwide Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NATIONWIDE with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Growth security.
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