Nicholas Ltd Edition Fund Market Value
| NNLEX Fund | USD 22.03 0.09 0.41% |
| Symbol | Nicholas |
Nicholas 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nicholas' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nicholas.
| 01/16/2024 |
| 01/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Nicholas on January 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nicholas Ltd Edition or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nicholas over 720 days. Nicholas is related to or competes with Wasatch Micro, James Balanced, Fidelity Japan, Growth Fund, Nuance Mid, Value Line, and White Oak. The fund primarily primarily invests in common stocks of domestic corporations with small-and medium-sized market capita... More
Nicholas Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nicholas' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nicholas Ltd Edition upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.33 |
Nicholas Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nicholas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nicholas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nicholas historical prices to predict the future Nicholas' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nicholas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nicholas Edition Backtested Returns
Nicholas Edition has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the entity had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nicholas exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nicholas' Standard Deviation of 1.38, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 0.8388 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.12, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Nicholas returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nicholas is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.6 |
Good reverse predictability
Nicholas Ltd Edition has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nicholas time series from 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025 and 10th of January 2025 to 5th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nicholas Edition price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Nicholas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.44 |
Nicholas Edition lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Nicholas mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nicholas' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nicholas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nicholas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Nicholas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nicholas mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nicholas mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nicholas mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Nicholas Lagged Returns
When evaluating Nicholas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nicholas mutual fund have on its future price. Nicholas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nicholas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nicholas mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nicholas Ltd Edition.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Nicholas Mutual Fund
Nicholas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nicholas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nicholas with respect to the benefits of owning Nicholas security.
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