Northern Potash Co Stock Market Value
| NPTH Stock | USD 0.0002 0.0001 33.33% |
| Symbol | Northern |
Northern Potash 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Potash's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Potash.
| 01/01/2025 |
| 12/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Potash on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Potash Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Potash over 360 days. Northern Potash is related to or competes with Vanadian Energy. Northern Potash Co., a junior resource company, engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of Potash pr... More
Northern Potash Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Potash's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Potash Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 50.0 |
Northern Potash Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Potash's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Potash's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Potash historical prices to predict the future Northern Potash's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.72) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.38) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.26 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Potash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northern Potash Backtested Returns
Northern Potash has Sharpe Ratio of -0.17, which conveys that the firm had a -0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northern Potash exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northern Potash's Standard Deviation of 6.15, mean deviation of 1.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.61, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern Potash are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern Potash is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Northern Potash has a negative expected return of -1.3%. Please make sure to verify Northern Potash's total risk alpha and day median price , to decide if Northern Potash performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
Northern Potash Co has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Potash time series from 1st of January 2025 to 30th of June 2025 and 30th of June 2025 to 27th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Potash price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Northern Potash price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Northern Potash lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Potash pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Potash's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Potash returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Potash has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northern Potash regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Potash pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Potash pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Potash pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northern Potash Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Potash's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Potash pink sheet have on its future price. Northern Potash autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Potash autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Potash pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Potash Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Northern Pink Sheet
Northern Potash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Potash security.