NRJ (France) Market Value

NRG Stock  EUR 7.00  0.02  0.29%   
NRJ's market value is the price at which a share of NRJ trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NRJ Group investors about its performance. NRJ is trading at 7.00 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.29% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NRJ Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NRJ over a given investment horizon. Check out NRJ Correlation, NRJ Volatility and NRJ Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NRJ.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NRJ's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NRJ is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NRJ's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NRJ 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NRJ's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NRJ.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NRJ on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NRJ Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in NRJ over 90 days. NRJ is related to or competes with Television Francaise, Mtropole Tlvision, Haulotte Group, VIEL Cie, and Ipsos SA. NRJ Group SA, together with its subsidiaries, publishes, produces, broadcasts, and markets its own media spaces More

NRJ Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NRJ's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NRJ Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NRJ Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NRJ's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NRJ's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NRJ historical prices to predict the future NRJ's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.137.007.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.337.208.07
Details

NRJ Group Backtested Returns

NRJ Group has Sharpe Ratio of -0.22, which conveys that the firm had a -0.22% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. NRJ exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NRJ's risk adjusted performance of (0.17), and Mean Deviation of 0.6876 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.064, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NRJ are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NRJ is likely to outperform the market. At this point, NRJ Group has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to verify NRJ's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if NRJ Group performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

NRJ Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NRJ time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NRJ Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current NRJ price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

NRJ Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NRJ stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NRJ's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NRJ returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NRJ has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NRJ regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NRJ stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NRJ stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NRJ stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NRJ Lagged Returns

When evaluating NRJ's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NRJ stock have on its future price. NRJ autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NRJ autocorrelation shows the relationship between NRJ stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NRJ Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in NRJ Stock

NRJ financial ratios help investors to determine whether NRJ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NRJ with respect to the benefits of owning NRJ security.