Napco Security Technologies Stock Market Value
| NSSC Stock | USD 43.79 0.30 0.69% |
| Symbol | NAPCO |
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could NAPCO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NAPCO Security. Anticipated expansion of NAPCO directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every NAPCO Security data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.322 | Dividend Share 0.545 | Earnings Share 1.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
Investors evaluate NAPCO Security Techn using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating NAPCO Security's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause NAPCO Security's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NAPCO Security's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NAPCO Security should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, NAPCO Security's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
NAPCO Security 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NAPCO Security's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NAPCO Security.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in NAPCO Security on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NAPCO Security Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in NAPCO Security over 90 days. NAPCO Security is related to or competes with Ducommun Incorporated, ICF International, Willdan, Tennant, Evolv Technologies, China Yuchai, and Janus International. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States an... More
NAPCO Security Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NAPCO Security's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NAPCO Security Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0181 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 |
NAPCO Security Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NAPCO Security's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NAPCO Security's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NAPCO Security historical prices to predict the future NAPCO Security's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0349 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0255 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0214 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0521 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NAPCO Security's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NAPCO Security February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0349 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0621 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2850.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Variance | 7.5 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0181 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0255 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0214 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0521 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.28) | |||
| Skewness | 0.9052 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.05 |
NAPCO Security Techn Backtested Returns
NAPCO Security appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. NAPCO Security Techn has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0889, which conveys that the company had a 0.0889 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for NAPCO Security, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please exercise NAPCO Security's Mean Deviation of 1.86, downside deviation of 2.31, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0621 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, NAPCO Security holds a performance score of 7. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.65, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NAPCO Security will likely underperform. Please check NAPCO Security's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether NAPCO Security's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.22 |
Weak reverse predictability
NAPCO Security Technologies has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NAPCO Security time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NAPCO Security Techn price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current NAPCO Security price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.68 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether NAPCO Security Techn offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NAPCO Security's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Napco Security Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Napco Security Technologies Stock:Check out NAPCO Security Correlation, NAPCO Security Volatility and NAPCO Security Performance module to complement your research on NAPCO Security. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
NAPCO Security technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.