Norwegian Air Shuttle Stock Market Value

NWARF Stock  USD 1.00  0.03  3.09%   
Norwegian Air's market value is the price at which a share of Norwegian Air trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Norwegian Air Shuttle investors about its performance. Norwegian Air is trading at 1.0 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 3.09% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Norwegian Air Shuttle and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Norwegian Air over a given investment horizon. Check out Norwegian Air Correlation, Norwegian Air Volatility and Norwegian Air Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norwegian Air.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norwegian Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norwegian Air 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Norwegian Air's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Norwegian Air.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 27 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Norwegian Air on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Norwegian Air Shuttle or generate 0.0% return on investment in Norwegian Air over 270 days. Norwegian Air is related to or competes with Air France-KLM, EasyJet Plc, Norse Atlantic, Air China, Finnair Oyj, Air New, and AirAsia Group. Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled and charter airline services in Norway and... More

Norwegian Air Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Norwegian Air's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Norwegian Air Shuttle upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Norwegian Air Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Norwegian Air's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Norwegian Air's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Norwegian Air historical prices to predict the future Norwegian Air's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.008.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.868.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.998.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.960.991.02
Details

Norwegian Air Shuttle Backtested Returns

Norwegian Air appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Norwegian Air Shuttle has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0641, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0641% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Norwegian Air, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Norwegian Air's Mean Deviation of 5.31, downside deviation of 6.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.041 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Norwegian Air holds a performance score of 5. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.63, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Norwegian Air's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Norwegian Air is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Norwegian Air's rate of daily change, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Norwegian Air's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Norwegian Air Shuttle has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Norwegian Air time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Norwegian Air Shuttle price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Norwegian Air price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Norwegian Air Shuttle lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Norwegian Air pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Norwegian Air's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Norwegian Air returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Norwegian Air has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Norwegian Air regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Norwegian Air pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Norwegian Air pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Norwegian Air pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Norwegian Air Lagged Returns

When evaluating Norwegian Air's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Norwegian Air pink sheet have on its future price. Norwegian Air autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Norwegian Air autocorrelation shows the relationship between Norwegian Air pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Norwegian Air Shuttle.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Norwegian Pink Sheet

Norwegian Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Norwegian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Norwegian with respect to the benefits of owning Norwegian Air security.