Naked Wines Plc Stock Market Value

NWINF Stock  USD 0.66  0.06  8.33%   
Naked Wines' market value is the price at which a share of Naked Wines trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Naked Wines plc investors about its performance. Naked Wines is trading at 0.66 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 8.33 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.64.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Naked Wines plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Naked Wines over a given investment horizon. Check out Naked Wines Correlation, Naked Wines Volatility and Naked Wines Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Naked Wines.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Naked Wines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Naked Wines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Naked Wines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Naked Wines 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Naked Wines' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Naked Wines.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Naked Wines on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Naked Wines plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Naked Wines over 30 days. Naked Wines is related to or competes with Pernod Ricard, Crimson Wine, Willamette Valley, Brown Forman, Becle SA, Willamette Valley, and Andrew Peller. Naked Wines plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retailing of wines and spirits in the United Kingdom, th... More

Naked Wines Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Naked Wines' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Naked Wines plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Naked Wines Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Naked Wines' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Naked Wines' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Naked Wines historical prices to predict the future Naked Wines' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.727.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.606.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.757.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.620.690.76
Details

Naked Wines plc Backtested Returns

At this point, Naked Wines is out of control. Naked Wines plc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.024, which conveys that the firm had a 0.024% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Naked Wines, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Naked Wines' Mean Deviation of 4.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.0424, and Downside Deviation of 7.15 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Naked Wines has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.38, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Naked Wines will likely underperform. Naked Wines plc right now secures a risk of 6.46%. Please verify Naked Wines plc sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Naked Wines plc will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Naked Wines plc has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Naked Wines time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Naked Wines plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Naked Wines price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Naked Wines plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Naked Wines pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Naked Wines' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Naked Wines returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Naked Wines has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Naked Wines regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Naked Wines pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Naked Wines pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Naked Wines pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Naked Wines Lagged Returns

When evaluating Naked Wines' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Naked Wines pink sheet have on its future price. Naked Wines autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Naked Wines autocorrelation shows the relationship between Naked Wines pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Naked Wines plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Naked Pink Sheet

Naked Wines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Naked Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Naked with respect to the benefits of owning Naked Wines security.