Nuveen New Jersey Fund Market Value

NXJ Fund  USD 12.21  0.03  0.25%   
Nuveen New's market value is the price at which a share of Nuveen New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nuveen New Jersey investors about its performance. Nuveen New is selling for 12.21 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.25 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's last reported lowest price was 12.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nuveen New Jersey and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nuveen New over a given investment horizon. Check out Nuveen New Correlation, Nuveen New Volatility and Nuveen New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nuveen New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nuveen New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nuveen New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nuveen New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nuveen New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nuveen New's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nuveen New.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nuveen New on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nuveen New Jersey or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nuveen New over 30 days. Nuveen New is related to or competes with Munivest Fund, Blackrock Muni, Blackrock Muniyield, Blackrock Muniyield, Gabelli Equity, Virtus AllianzGI, and Gabelli Equity. Nuveen New Jersey Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investment... More

Nuveen New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nuveen New's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nuveen New Jersey upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nuveen New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nuveen New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nuveen New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nuveen New historical prices to predict the future Nuveen New's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuveen New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7212.2112.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8112.3012.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9012.3912.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0212.3612.70
Details

Nuveen New Jersey Backtested Returns

Nuveen New Jersey has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0239, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0239% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nuveen New exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nuveen New's Mean Deviation of 0.3653, standard deviation of 0.4851, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nuveen New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nuveen New is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Nuveen New Jersey has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nuveen New time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nuveen New Jersey price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Nuveen New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Nuveen New Jersey lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nuveen New fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nuveen New's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nuveen New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nuveen New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nuveen New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nuveen New fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nuveen New fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nuveen New fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nuveen New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nuveen New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nuveen New fund have on its future price. Nuveen New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nuveen New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nuveen New fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nuveen New Jersey.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund

Nuveen New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen New security.
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