Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities Fund Market Value

OBSIX Fund  USD 27.75  0.13  0.47%   
Oberweis Small-cap's market value is the price at which a share of Oberweis Small-cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities investors about its performance. Oberweis Small-cap is trading at 27.75 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.47 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 27.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oberweis Small-cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Oberweis Small-cap Correlation, Oberweis Small-cap Volatility and Oberweis Small-cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oberweis Small-cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oberweis Small-cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oberweis Small-cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oberweis Small-cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oberweis Small-cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oberweis Small-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oberweis Small-cap.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oberweis Small-cap on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oberweis Small-cap over 720 days. Oberweis Small-cap is related to or competes with Ab Global, Blue Current, Mirova Global, Massmutual Premier, Morgan Stanley, Kinetics Global, and Us Global. The fund invests normally at least 80 percent of its net assets in the securities of small-cap companies More

Oberweis Small-cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oberweis Small-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oberweis Small-cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oberweis Small-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oberweis Small-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oberweis Small-cap historical prices to predict the future Oberweis Small-cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4827.7529.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2627.5328.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2427.5128.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2127.5328.85
Details

Oberweis Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Oberweis Mutual Fund to be very steady. Oberweis Small Cap maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0463, which implies the entity had a 0.0463% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Oberweis Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Oberweis Small-cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0501, semi deviation of 1.29, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1655.64 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0592%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.34, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Oberweis Small-cap will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oberweis Small-cap time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oberweis Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Oberweis Small-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.99

Oberweis Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oberweis Small-cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oberweis Small-cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oberweis Small-cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oberweis Small-cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oberweis Small-cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oberweis Small-cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund have on its future price. Oberweis Small-cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oberweis Small-cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oberweis Small-cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Oberweis Mutual Fund

Oberweis Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oberweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oberweis with respect to the benefits of owning Oberweis Small-cap security.
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