Optimum Fixed Income Fund Market Value

OCFIX Fund  USD 8.76  0.01  0.11%   
Optimum Fixed's market value is the price at which a share of Optimum Fixed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Optimum Fixed Income investors about its performance. Optimum Fixed is trading at 8.76 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Optimum Fixed Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Optimum Fixed over a given investment horizon. Check out Optimum Fixed Correlation, Optimum Fixed Volatility and Optimum Fixed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Optimum Fixed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Optimum Fixed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Optimum Fixed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Optimum Fixed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Optimum Fixed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Optimum Fixed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Optimum Fixed.
0.00
09/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Optimum Fixed on September 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Optimum Fixed Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Optimum Fixed over 60 days. Optimum Fixed is related to or competes with T Rowe, Morningstar Municipal, T Rowe, Ishares Municipal, Gamco Global, and Oklahoma Municipal. Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowing... More

Optimum Fixed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Optimum Fixed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Optimum Fixed Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Optimum Fixed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Optimum Fixed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Optimum Fixed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Optimum Fixed historical prices to predict the future Optimum Fixed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.468.779.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.668.728.77
Details

Optimum Fixed Income Backtested Returns

Optimum Fixed Income maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0554, which implies the entity had a -0.0554% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Optimum Fixed Income exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Optimum Fixed's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,665), and Variance of 0.0943 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0459, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Optimum Fixed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Optimum Fixed is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Optimum Fixed Income has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Optimum Fixed time series from 28th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Optimum Fixed Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Optimum Fixed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Optimum Fixed Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Optimum Fixed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Optimum Fixed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Optimum Fixed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Optimum Fixed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Optimum Fixed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Optimum Fixed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Optimum Fixed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Optimum Fixed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Optimum Fixed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Optimum Fixed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Optimum Fixed mutual fund have on its future price. Optimum Fixed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Optimum Fixed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Optimum Fixed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Optimum Fixed Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Optimum Mutual Fund

Optimum Fixed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Optimum Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Optimum with respect to the benefits of owning Optimum Fixed security.
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