Orbs Market Value

ORBS Crypto  USD 0.03  0  5.21%   
Orbs' market value is the price at which a share of Orbs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orbs investors about its performance. Orbs is trading at 0.0323 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 5.21 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orbs and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orbs over a given investment horizon. Check out Orbs Correlation, Orbs Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Orbs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orbs' coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Orbs value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Orbs' price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

Orbs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orbs' crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orbs.
0.00
12/01/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orbs on December 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orbs or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orbs over 360 days. Orbs is related to or competes with Solana, XRP, Sui, Staked Ether, Toncoin, Worldcoin, and Avalanche. Orbs is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

Orbs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orbs' crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orbs upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orbs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orbs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orbs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orbs historical prices to predict the future Orbs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.034.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.024.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.034.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Orbs Backtested Returns

Orbs appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Orbs maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.12, which implies digital coin had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Orbs' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Orbs' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0757, semi deviation of 4.01, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1138.6 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The crypto holds a Beta of 0.57, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Orbs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orbs is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Orbs has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orbs time series from 1st of December 2023 to 29th of May 2024 and 29th of May 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orbs price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Orbs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Orbs lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orbs crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orbs' crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orbs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orbs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orbs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orbs crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orbs crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orbs crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orbs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orbs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orbs crypto coin have on its future price. Orbs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orbs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orbs crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orbs.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Orbs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orbs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orbs Crypto.
Check out Orbs Correlation, Orbs Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Orbs.
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Orbs technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Orbs technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Orbs trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...