Jpmorgan Short Duration Fund Market Value

OSTCX Fund  USD 10.86  0.03  0.28%   
Jpmorgan Short's market value is the price at which a share of Jpmorgan Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jpmorgan Short Duration investors about its performance. Jpmorgan Short is trading at 10.86 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.28 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.89.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jpmorgan Short Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jpmorgan Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Jpmorgan Short Correlation, Jpmorgan Short Volatility and Jpmorgan Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jpmorgan Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Short.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jpmorgan Short on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Short Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Short over 30 days. Jpmorgan Short is related to or competes with Ppm High, Dunham High, Guggenheim High, Lord Abbett, Gmo High, and Fidelity Capital. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in bonds More

Jpmorgan Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Short Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jpmorgan Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Short historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Short's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7610.8610.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5510.6511.95
Details

Jpmorgan Short Duration Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Jpmorgan Short Duration holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 5.0E-4, which attests that the entity had a 5.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Jpmorgan Short Duration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Jpmorgan Short's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2706, downside deviation of 0.1333, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 1.0E-4%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0168, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jpmorgan Short are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jpmorgan Short is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

Jpmorgan Short Duration has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Short time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Short Duration price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Jpmorgan Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Jpmorgan Short Duration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jpmorgan Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Short mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Short Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Short security.
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