Parex Resources Stock Market Value

PARXF Stock  USD 10.50  0.03  0.28%   
Parex Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Parex Resources trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Parex Resources investors about its performance. Parex Resources is trading at 10.50 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 0.28 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Parex Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Parex Resources over a given investment horizon. Check out Parex Resources Correlation, Parex Resources Volatility and Parex Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Parex Resources.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Parex Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Parex Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Parex Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Parex Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Parex Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Parex Resources.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Parex Resources on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Parex Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Parex Resources over 30 days. Parex Resources is related to or competes with Petroleo Brasileiro, Equinor ASA, Eni SPA, YPF Sociedad, Ecopetrol, BP PLC, and Shell PLC. Parex Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production of oil and natural gas in Colombia More

Parex Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Parex Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Parex Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Parex Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Parex Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Parex Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Parex Resources historical prices to predict the future Parex Resources' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Parex Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.8610.5014.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.888.5212.16
Details

Parex Resources Backtested Returns

Parex Resources maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0516, which implies the firm had a -0.0516% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Parex Resources exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Parex Resources' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), coefficient of variation of (1,925), and Variance of 12.88 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.16, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Parex Resources' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Parex Resources is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Parex Resources has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check Parex Resources' total risk alpha, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Parex Resources performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Parex Resources has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Parex Resources time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Parex Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Parex Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09

Parex Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Parex Resources pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Parex Resources' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Parex Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Parex Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Parex Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Parex Resources pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Parex Resources pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Parex Resources pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Parex Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Parex Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Parex Resources pink sheet have on its future price. Parex Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Parex Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Parex Resources pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Parex Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Parex Pink Sheet

Parex Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parex with respect to the benefits of owning Parex Resources security.