Phibro Animal (Germany) Market Value

PB8 Stock  EUR 20.80  0.20  0.97%   
Phibro Animal's market value is the price at which a share of Phibro Animal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Phibro Animal Health investors about its performance. Phibro Animal is trading at 20.80 as of the 24th of January 2025. This is a 0.97% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Phibro Animal Health and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Phibro Animal over a given investment horizon. Check out Phibro Animal Correlation, Phibro Animal Volatility and Phibro Animal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Phibro Animal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Phibro Animal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phibro Animal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phibro Animal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Phibro Animal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Phibro Animal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Phibro Animal.
0.00
12/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/24/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Phibro Animal on December 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Phibro Animal Health or generate 0.0% return on investment in Phibro Animal over 30 days. Phibro Animal is related to or competes with GOLD ROAD, Yuexiu Transport, SAFEROADS HLDGS, Television Broadcasts, BROADWIND ENRGY, Nishi Nippon, and Transport International. Phibro Animal Health Corporation develops, manufactures, and supplies a range of animal health and mineral nutrition pro... More

Phibro Animal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Phibro Animal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Phibro Animal Health upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Phibro Animal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Phibro Animal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Phibro Animal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Phibro Animal historical prices to predict the future Phibro Animal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4020.8023.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7721.1723.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.5920.9923.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1420.1021.06
Details

Phibro Animal Health Backtested Returns

Phibro Animal Health maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Phibro Animal Health exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Phibro Animal's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,534), variance of 5.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.39, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Phibro Animal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Phibro Animal is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Phibro Animal Health has a negative expected return of -0.0112%. Please make sure to check Phibro Animal's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Phibro Animal Health performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Phibro Animal Health has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Phibro Animal time series from 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025 and 9th of January 2025 to 24th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Phibro Animal Health price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Phibro Animal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Phibro Animal Health lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Phibro Animal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Phibro Animal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Phibro Animal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Phibro Animal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Phibro Animal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Phibro Animal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Phibro Animal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Phibro Animal stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Phibro Animal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Phibro Animal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Phibro Animal stock have on its future price. Phibro Animal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Phibro Animal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Phibro Animal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Phibro Animal Health.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Phibro Stock

When determining whether Phibro Animal Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Phibro Animal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phibro Animal Health Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phibro Animal Health Stock:
Check out Phibro Animal Correlation, Phibro Animal Volatility and Phibro Animal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Phibro Animal.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Phibro Animal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Phibro Animal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Phibro Animal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...