Pebblebrook Hotel's market value is the price at which a share of Pebblebrook Hotel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust investors about its performance. Pebblebrook Hotel is trading at 21.85 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 21.74. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pebblebrook Hotel over a given investment horizon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Symbol
Pebblebrook
Pebblebrook Hotel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pebblebrook Hotel's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pebblebrook Hotel.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Pebblebrook Hotel on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pebblebrook Hotel Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pebblebrook Hotel over 720 days.
Pebblebrook Hotel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pebblebrook Hotel's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pebblebrook Hotel Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pebblebrook Hotel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pebblebrook Hotel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pebblebrook Hotel historical prices to predict the future Pebblebrook Hotel's volatility.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0372, which implies the firm had a -0.0372% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pebblebrook Hotel's Semi Deviation of 0.8849, coefficient of variation of 3169.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0267 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.0657, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pebblebrook Hotel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pebblebrook Hotel is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has a negative expected return of -0.0339%. Please make sure to check Pebblebrook Hotel's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Pebblebrook Hotel Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
0.13
Insignificant predictability
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pebblebrook Hotel time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Pebblebrook Hotel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.13
Spearman Rank Test
-0.1
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.55
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pebblebrook Hotel's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pebblebrook Hotel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pebblebrook Hotel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Pebblebrook Hotel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Pebblebrook Hotel Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pebblebrook Hotel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock have on its future price. Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pebblebrook Hotel preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pebblebrook Hotel Trust.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.