Peninsula (Israel) Market Value

PEN Stock   204.30  0.10  0.05%   
Peninsula's market value is the price at which a share of Peninsula trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Peninsula Group investors about its performance. Peninsula is trading at 204.30 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 0.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 204.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Peninsula Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Peninsula over a given investment horizon. Check out Peninsula Correlation, Peninsula Volatility and Peninsula Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Peninsula.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Peninsula's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peninsula is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peninsula's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Peninsula 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Peninsula's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Peninsula.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Peninsula on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Peninsula Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Peninsula over 540 days. Peninsula is related to or competes with Menif Financial, Accel Solutions, Rani Zim, Mivtach Shamir, and Rapac Communication. Peninsula Group Ltd. provides credit to small and medium-sized businesses in Israel More

Peninsula Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Peninsula's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Peninsula Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Peninsula Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Peninsula's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Peninsula's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Peninsula historical prices to predict the future Peninsula's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
202.38204.30206.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
183.87221.92223.84
Details

Peninsula Group Backtested Returns

Peninsula appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Peninsula Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.29, which implies the firm had a 0.29% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Peninsula's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Peninsula's Semi Deviation of 1.15, coefficient of variation of 389.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2028 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Peninsula holds a performance score of 22. The company holds a Beta of 0.2, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Peninsula's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Peninsula is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Peninsula's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Peninsula's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.1  

Very weak reverse predictability

Peninsula Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Peninsula time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Peninsula Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Peninsula price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance304.72

Peninsula Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Peninsula stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Peninsula's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Peninsula returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Peninsula has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Peninsula regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Peninsula stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Peninsula stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Peninsula stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Peninsula Lagged Returns

When evaluating Peninsula's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Peninsula stock have on its future price. Peninsula autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Peninsula autocorrelation shows the relationship between Peninsula stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Peninsula Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Peninsula Stock

Peninsula financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peninsula Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peninsula with respect to the benefits of owning Peninsula security.