Pfg American Funds Fund Market Value

PFCOX Fund  USD 9.72  0.02  0.21%   
Pfg American's market value is the price at which a share of Pfg American trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pfg American Funds investors about its performance. Pfg American is trading at 9.72 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.21 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pfg American Funds and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pfg American over a given investment horizon. Check out Pfg American Correlation, Pfg American Volatility and Pfg American Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pfg American.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pfg American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pfg American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pfg American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pfg American 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pfg American's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pfg American.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pfg American on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pfg American Funds or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pfg American over 30 days. Pfg American is related to or competes with Calvert Global, World Energy, Dreyfus Natural, Icon Natural, and Short Oil. Under normal market circumstances, the fund invests more than half of its assets in American underlying funds or other u... More

Pfg American Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pfg American's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pfg American Funds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pfg American Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pfg American's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pfg American's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pfg American historical prices to predict the future Pfg American's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.529.729.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.549.749.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.509.709.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.729.729.72
Details

Pfg American Funds Backtested Returns

Pfg American Funds maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0551, which implies the entity had a -0.0551% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pfg American Funds exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pfg American's Variance of 0.0416, coefficient of variation of (7,006), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.1, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pfg American's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pfg American is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Pfg American Funds has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pfg American time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pfg American Funds price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Pfg American price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Pfg American Funds lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pfg American mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pfg American's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pfg American returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pfg American has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pfg American regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pfg American mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pfg American mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pfg American mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pfg American Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pfg American's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pfg American mutual fund have on its future price. Pfg American autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pfg American autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pfg American mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pfg American Funds.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pfg Mutual Fund

Pfg American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pfg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pfg with respect to the benefits of owning Pfg American security.
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