Paradigm Select Fund Market Value
| PFSLX Fund | USD 84.78 0.75 0.88% |
| Symbol | Paradigm |
Paradigm Select 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Paradigm Select's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Paradigm Select.
| 09/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Paradigm Select on September 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Paradigm Select Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Paradigm Select over 60 days. Paradigm Select is related to or competes with Paradigm Micro-cap, Paradigm Value, Needham Small, Touchstone Mid, and Parnassus Endeavor. The fund invests primarily in the common stocks of companies with market capitalizations between 500 million and 10 bill... More
Paradigm Select Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Paradigm Select's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Paradigm Select Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.52 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.75 |
Paradigm Select Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Paradigm Select's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Paradigm Select's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Paradigm Select historical prices to predict the future Paradigm Select's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0724 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0761 |
Paradigm Select Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Paradigm Mutual Fund to be very steady. Paradigm Select maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0848, which implies the entity had a 0.0848% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Paradigm Select, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Paradigm Select's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0724, semi deviation of 1.08, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1108.81 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.26, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Paradigm Select will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | -0.25 |
Weak reverse predictability
Paradigm Select Fund has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Paradigm Select time series from 28th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Paradigm Select price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Paradigm Select price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.25 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.15 |
Paradigm Select lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Paradigm Select mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Paradigm Select's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Paradigm Select returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Paradigm Select has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Paradigm Select regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Paradigm Select mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Paradigm Select mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Paradigm Select mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Paradigm Select Lagged Returns
When evaluating Paradigm Select's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Paradigm Select mutual fund have on its future price. Paradigm Select autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Paradigm Select autocorrelation shows the relationship between Paradigm Select mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Paradigm Select Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Paradigm Mutual Fund
Paradigm Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Paradigm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Paradigm with respect to the benefits of owning Paradigm Select security.
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