Pilbara Minerals Limited Stock Market Value

PILBF Stock  USD 1.36  0.05  3.55%   
Pilbara Minerals' market value is the price at which a share of Pilbara Minerals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pilbara Minerals Limited investors about its performance. Pilbara Minerals is trading at 1.36 as of the 18th of February 2025. This is a 3.55 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pilbara Minerals Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pilbara Minerals over a given investment horizon. Check out Pilbara Minerals Correlation, Pilbara Minerals Volatility and Pilbara Minerals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pilbara Minerals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pilbara Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pilbara Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pilbara Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pilbara Minerals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pilbara Minerals' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pilbara Minerals.
0.00
01/19/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/18/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pilbara Minerals on January 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pilbara Minerals Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pilbara Minerals over 30 days. Pilbara Minerals is related to or competes with South32, Grupo México, Critical Elements, Patriot Battery, Frontier Lithium, Lithium Ionic, and CanAlaska Uranium. Pilbara Minerals Limited explores for, develops, and operates mineral resources in Australia More

Pilbara Minerals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pilbara Minerals' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pilbara Minerals Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pilbara Minerals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pilbara Minerals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pilbara Minerals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pilbara Minerals historical prices to predict the future Pilbara Minerals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.363.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.273.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.333.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.341.421.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pilbara Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pilbara Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pilbara Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pilbara Minerals.

Pilbara Minerals Backtested Returns

Pilbara Minerals maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.21, which implies the firm had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pilbara Minerals exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pilbara Minerals' Variance of 7.05, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Coefficient Of Variation of (537.52) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.63, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Pilbara Minerals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pilbara Minerals is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pilbara Minerals has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to check Pilbara Minerals' value at risk, rate of daily change, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Pilbara Minerals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Pilbara Minerals Limited has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pilbara Minerals time series from 19th of January 2025 to 3rd of February 2025 and 3rd of February 2025 to 18th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pilbara Minerals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Pilbara Minerals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Pilbara Minerals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pilbara Minerals pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pilbara Minerals' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pilbara Minerals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pilbara Minerals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pilbara Minerals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pilbara Minerals pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pilbara Minerals pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pilbara Minerals pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pilbara Minerals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pilbara Minerals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pilbara Minerals pink sheet have on its future price. Pilbara Minerals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pilbara Minerals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pilbara Minerals pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pilbara Minerals Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Pilbara Pink Sheet

Pilbara Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pilbara Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pilbara with respect to the benefits of owning Pilbara Minerals security.