Panin Financial (Indonesia) Market Value

PNLF Stock  IDR 438.00  14.00  3.10%   
Panin Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Panin Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Panin Financial Tbk investors about its performance. Panin Financial is selling for 438.00 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 3.1 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 436.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Panin Financial Tbk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Panin Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Panin Financial Correlation, Panin Financial Volatility and Panin Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Panin Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Panin Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Panin Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Panin Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Panin Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Panin Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Panin Financial.
0.00
12/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 10 months and 27 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Panin Financial on December 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Panin Financial Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Panin Financial over 330 days. Panin Financial is related to or competes with Paninvest Tbk, Maskapai Reasuransi, Panin Sekuritas, Wahana Ottomitra, and Lenox Pasifik. More

Panin Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Panin Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Panin Financial Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Panin Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Panin Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Panin Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Panin Financial historical prices to predict the future Panin Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
434.71438.00441.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
369.67372.96481.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
414.66417.95421.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
429.47442.67455.87
Details

Panin Financial Tbk Backtested Returns

Panin Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Panin Financial Tbk maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0873, which implies the firm had a 0.0873% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Panin Financial Tbk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Panin Financial's Semi Deviation of 2.66, risk adjusted performance of 0.0922, and Coefficient Of Variation of 907.82 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Panin Financial holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of -0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Panin Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Panin Financial is likely to outperform the market. Please check Panin Financial's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Panin Financial's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

Panin Financial Tbk has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Panin Financial time series from 29th of December 2023 to 11th of June 2024 and 11th of June 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Panin Financial Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Panin Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3469.29

Panin Financial Tbk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Panin Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Panin Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Panin Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Panin Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Panin Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Panin Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Panin Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Panin Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Panin Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Panin Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Panin Financial stock have on its future price. Panin Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Panin Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Panin Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Panin Financial Tbk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Panin Stock

Panin Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panin with respect to the benefits of owning Panin Financial security.