PTT Public (Thailand) Market Value
| PTT-R Stock | THB 33.25 0.50 1.48% |
| Symbol | PTT |
PTT Public 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PTT Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PTT Public.
| 12/07/2022 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PTT Public on December 7, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PTT Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in PTT Public over 720 days. PTT Public is related to or competes with PTT Exploration, Siam Cement, CP ALL, Airports, and Kasikornbank Public. PTT Public Company Limited engages in upstream and downstream petroleum, coal, electricity, and infrastructure businesse... More
PTT Public Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PTT Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PTT Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.27 |
PTT Public Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PTT Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PTT Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PTT Public historical prices to predict the future PTT Public's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0163 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.00000272) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1207 |
PTT Public Backtested Returns
At this point, PTT Public is very steady. PTT Public maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0055, which implies the firm had a 0.0055% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PTT Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check PTT Public's Semi Deviation of 0.7813, risk adjusted performance of 0.0163, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1307 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0062%. The company holds a Beta of 0.0742, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, PTT Public's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PTT Public is expected to be smaller as well. PTT Public presently holds a risk of 1.12%. Please check PTT Public skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if PTT Public will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
PTT Public has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PTT Public time series from 7th of December 2022 to 2nd of December 2023 and 2nd of December 2023 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PTT Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current PTT Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.77 |
PTT Public lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PTT Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PTT Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PTT Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PTT Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PTT Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PTT Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PTT Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PTT Public stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PTT Public Lagged Returns
When evaluating PTT Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PTT Public stock have on its future price. PTT Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PTT Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between PTT Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PTT Public.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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PTT Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether PTT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PTT with respect to the benefits of owning PTT Public security.