Philex Mining (Philippines) Market Value

PX Stock   2.82  0.04  1.44%   
Philex Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Philex Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Philex Mining Corp investors about its performance. Philex Mining is trading at 2.82 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 1.44% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Philex Mining Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Philex Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Philex Mining Correlation, Philex Mining Volatility and Philex Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Philex Mining.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Philex Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philex Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philex Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Philex Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Philex Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Philex Mining.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Philex Mining on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Philex Mining Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Philex Mining over 30 days. Philex Mining is related to or competes with Metropolitan Bank, Century Pacific, Cebu Air, Semirara Mining, Philippine Business, and Jollibee Foods. More

Philex Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Philex Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Philex Mining Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Philex Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Philex Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Philex Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Philex Mining historical prices to predict the future Philex Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.632.784.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.322.474.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.642.794.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.682.812.94
Details

Philex Mining Corp Backtested Returns

At this point, Philex Mining is relatively risky. Philex Mining Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0081, which implies the firm had a 0.0081% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Philex Mining Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Philex Mining's Variance of 4.51, coefficient of variation of (10,207), and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0176%. The company holds a Beta of -0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Philex Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Philex Mining is likely to outperform the market. Philex Mining Corp right now holds a risk of 2.17%. Please check Philex Mining Corp value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Philex Mining Corp will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Philex Mining Corp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Philex Mining time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Philex Mining Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Philex Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Philex Mining Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Philex Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Philex Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Philex Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Philex Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Philex Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Philex Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Philex Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Philex Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Philex Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Philex Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Philex Mining stock have on its future price. Philex Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Philex Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Philex Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Philex Mining Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Philex Stock

Philex Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Philex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Philex with respect to the benefits of owning Philex Mining security.