Payfare Stock Market Value

PYFRF Stock  USD 1.43  0.02  1.38%   
Payfare's market value is the price at which a share of Payfare trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Payfare investors about its performance. Payfare is trading at 1.43 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 1.38 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Payfare and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Payfare over a given investment horizon. Check out Payfare Correlation, Payfare Volatility and Payfare Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Payfare.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Payfare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Payfare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Payfare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Payfare 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Payfare's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Payfare.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Payfare on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Payfare or generate 0.0% return on investment in Payfare over 30 days. Payfare is related to or competes with Arax Holdings, AppTech Payments, Arbe Robotics, Fortinet, and Adobe Systems. Payfare Inc., a financial technology company, provides instant payment and digital banking solutions to gig economy work... More

Payfare Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Payfare's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Payfare upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Payfare Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Payfare's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Payfare's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Payfare historical prices to predict the future Payfare's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.4311.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.3711.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.3011.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.411.491.57
Details

Payfare Backtested Returns

Payfare maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Payfare exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Payfare's Variance of 96.75, coefficient of variation of (951.90), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Payfare's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Payfare is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Payfare has a negative expected return of -1.19%. Please make sure to check Payfare's potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Payfare performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

Payfare has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Payfare time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Payfare price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Payfare price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Payfare lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Payfare otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Payfare's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Payfare returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Payfare has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Payfare regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Payfare otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Payfare otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Payfare otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Payfare Lagged Returns

When evaluating Payfare's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Payfare otc stock have on its future price. Payfare autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Payfare autocorrelation shows the relationship between Payfare otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Payfare.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Payfare OTC Stock

Payfare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payfare OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payfare with respect to the benefits of owning Payfare security.