Payden High Income Fund Market Value

PYHRX Fund  USD 6.35  0.04  0.63%   
Payden High's market value is the price at which a share of Payden High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Payden High Income investors about its performance. Payden High is trading at 6.35 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.63% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Payden High Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Payden High over a given investment horizon. Check out Payden High Correlation, Payden High Volatility and Payden High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Payden High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Payden High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Payden High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Payden High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Payden High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Payden High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Payden High.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Payden High on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Payden High Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Payden High over 30 days. Payden High is related to or competes with Rational/pier, Lord Abbett, Gabelli Convertible, and Absolute Convertible. The fund invests in a wide variety of debt instruments and income-producing securities More

Payden High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Payden High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Payden High Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Payden High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Payden High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Payden High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Payden High historical prices to predict the future Payden High's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.256.396.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.735.877.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.246.386.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.326.366.40
Details

Payden High Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Payden Mutual Fund to be very steady. Payden High Income maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.14, which implies the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Payden High Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Payden High's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0604, downside deviation of 0.1948, and Standard Deviation of 0.1393 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0198%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0792, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Payden High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Payden High is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Payden High Income has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Payden High time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Payden High Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Payden High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Payden High Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Payden High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Payden High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Payden High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Payden High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Payden High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Payden High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Payden High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Payden High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Payden High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Payden High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Payden High mutual fund have on its future price. Payden High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Payden High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Payden High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Payden High Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Payden Mutual Fund

Payden High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden with respect to the benefits of owning Payden High security.
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