The Payden Rygel Fund Market Value

PYLDX Fund  USD 9.77  0.02  0.21%   
Payden Rygel's market value is the price at which a share of Payden Rygel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Payden Rygel investors about its performance. Payden Rygel is trading at 9.77 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.21 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Payden Rygel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Payden Rygel over a given investment horizon. Check out Payden Rygel Correlation, Payden Rygel Volatility and Payden Rygel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Payden Rygel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Payden Rygel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Payden Rygel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Payden Rygel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Payden Rygel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Payden Rygel's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Payden Rygel.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Payden Rygel on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Payden Rygel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Payden Rygel over 30 days. Payden Rygel is related to or competes with Artisan Emerging, Vanguard Emerging, T Rowe, Angel Oak, Ep Emerging, Dodge Cox, and Black Oak. The fund invests in a wide variety of debt instruments and income-producing securities payable primarily in U.S More

Payden Rygel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Payden Rygel's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Payden Rygel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Payden Rygel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Payden Rygel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Payden Rygel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Payden Rygel historical prices to predict the future Payden Rygel's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Payden Rygel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.649.779.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.868.9910.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.639.759.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.759.769.78
Details

Payden Rygel Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Payden Mutual Fund to be very steady. Payden Rygel maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0657, which implies the entity had a 0.0657% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Payden Rygel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Payden Rygel's Standard Deviation of 0.1235, downside deviation of 0.128, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.346 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0082%. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0064, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Payden Rygel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Payden Rygel is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

The Payden Rygel has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Payden Rygel time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Payden Rygel price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Payden Rygel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Payden Rygel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Payden Rygel mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Payden Rygel's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Payden Rygel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Payden Rygel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Payden Rygel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Payden Rygel mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Payden Rygel mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Payden Rygel mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Payden Rygel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Payden Rygel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Payden Rygel mutual fund have on its future price. Payden Rygel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Payden Rygel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Payden Rygel mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Payden Rygel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Payden Mutual Fund

Payden Rygel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden with respect to the benefits of owning Payden Rygel security.
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