Pimco California Municipal Fund Market Value

PZC Fund  USD 7.11  0.04  0.57%   
Pimco California's market value is the price at which a share of Pimco California trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pimco California Municipal investors about its performance. Pimco California is trading at 7.11 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.57 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pimco California Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pimco California over a given investment horizon. Check out Pimco California Correlation, Pimco California Volatility and Pimco California Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pimco California.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pimco California's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pimco California is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pimco California's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pimco California 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pimco California's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pimco California.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pimco California on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pimco California Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pimco California over 510 days. Pimco California is related to or competes with Pimco California, BlackRock California, Blackrock Muniholdings, Invesco California, Pimco California, Nuveen California, and Pimco Municipal. PIMCO California Municipal Income Fund III is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Gl... More

Pimco California Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pimco California's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pimco California Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pimco California Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pimco California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pimco California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pimco California historical prices to predict the future Pimco California's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.527.117.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.326.917.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.547.137.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.037.107.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco California Mun.

Pimco California Mun Backtested Returns

Pimco California Mun maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0084, which implies the entity had a -0.0084% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pimco California Mun exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pimco California's Variance of 0.3351, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,226) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0939, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pimco California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pimco California is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Pimco California Municipal has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pimco California time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pimco California Mun price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Pimco California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Pimco California Mun lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pimco California fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pimco California's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pimco California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pimco California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pimco California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pimco California fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pimco California fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pimco California fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pimco California Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pimco California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pimco California fund have on its future price. Pimco California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pimco California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pimco California fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pimco California Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Fund

Pimco California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco California security.
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