Federated Mdt Balanced Fund Market Value

QKBGX Fund  USD 23.90  0.12  0.50%   
Federated Mdt's market value is the price at which a share of Federated Mdt trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federated Mdt Balanced investors about its performance. Federated Mdt is trading at 23.90 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.5 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federated Mdt Balanced and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federated Mdt over a given investment horizon. Check out Federated Mdt Correlation, Federated Mdt Volatility and Federated Mdt Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated Mdt.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Mdt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Mdt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Mdt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated Mdt 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Mdt's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Mdt.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated Mdt on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Mdt Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Mdt over 480 days. Federated Mdt is related to or competes with Federated Emerging, Federated Mdt, Federated Global, Federated Hermes, Federated Strategic, and Federated Strategic. The fund may invest in a wide variety of investments such as equity securities, fixed-income securities, foreign securit... More

Federated Mdt Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Mdt's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Mdt Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated Mdt Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Mdt's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Mdt's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Mdt historical prices to predict the future Federated Mdt's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4123.9024.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2523.7424.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.2123.7024.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8323.9424.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Mdt. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Mdt's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Mdt's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federated Mdt Balanced.

Federated Mdt Balanced Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Federated Mutual Fund to be very steady. Federated Mdt Balanced secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Federated Mdt Balanced, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Mdt's Mean Deviation of 0.3832, coefficient of variation of 724.03, and Downside Deviation of 0.5025 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0663%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0325, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Mdt's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Mdt is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Federated Mdt Balanced has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Mdt time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Mdt Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Federated Mdt price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.74

Federated Mdt Balanced lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federated Mdt mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Mdt's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Mdt returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Mdt has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federated Mdt regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Mdt mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Mdt mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Mdt mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federated Mdt Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federated Mdt's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Mdt mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Mdt autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Mdt autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Mdt mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Mdt Balanced.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Mdt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Mdt security.
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