Quice Food (Pakistan) Market Value

QUICE Stock   6.65  0.14  2.06%   
Quice Food's market value is the price at which a share of Quice Food trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Quice Food Industries investors about its performance. Quice Food is selling for 6.65 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 2.06 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 6.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Quice Food Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Quice Food over a given investment horizon. Check out Quice Food Correlation, Quice Food Volatility and Quice Food Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Quice Food.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Quice Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quice Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quice Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Quice Food 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Quice Food's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Quice Food.
0.00
01/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Quice Food on January 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Quice Food Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Quice Food over 690 days. Quice Food is related to or competes with Masood Textile, Fauji Foods, KSB Pumps, Mari Petroleum, Loads, Thatta Cement, and KOT Addu. More

Quice Food Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Quice Food's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Quice Food Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Quice Food Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Quice Food's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Quice Food's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Quice Food historical prices to predict the future Quice Food's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quice Food's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.256.6511.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.176.5710.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.526.9311.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.136.486.83
Details

Quice Food Industries Backtested Returns

Quice Food Industries maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0268, which implies the firm had a -0.0268% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Quice Food Industries exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Quice Food's Variance of 18.95, coefficient of variation of (1,836), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.12, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Quice Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Quice Food is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Quice Food Industries has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check Quice Food's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Quice Food Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Quice Food Industries has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Quice Food time series from 6th of January 2023 to 17th of December 2023 and 17th of December 2023 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Quice Food Industries price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Quice Food price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.48

Quice Food Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Quice Food stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Quice Food's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Quice Food returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Quice Food has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Quice Food regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Quice Food stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Quice Food stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Quice Food stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Quice Food Lagged Returns

When evaluating Quice Food's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Quice Food stock have on its future price. Quice Food autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Quice Food autocorrelation shows the relationship between Quice Food stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Quice Food Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Quice Food

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Quice Food position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Quice Food will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Quice Stock

  0.74MARI Mari Petroleum SplitPairCorr
  0.47THCCL Thatta CementPairCorr
  0.37REWM Reliance Weaving MillsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Quice Food could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Quice Food when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Quice Food - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Quice Food Industries to buy it.
The correlation of Quice Food is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Quice Food moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Quice Food Industries moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Quice Food can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Quice Stock

Quice Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quice Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quice with respect to the benefits of owning Quice Food security.