Natwest Group Plc Stock Market Value

RBSPF Stock  USD 8.76  0.15  1.74%   
NatWest Group's market value is the price at which a share of NatWest Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NatWest Group PLC investors about its performance. NatWest Group is trading at 8.76 as of the 18th of January 2026. This is a 1.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NatWest Group PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NatWest Group over a given investment horizon. Check out NatWest Group Correlation, NatWest Group Volatility and NatWest Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NatWest Group.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between NatWest Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NatWest Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NatWest Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NatWest Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NatWest Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NatWest Group.
0.00
01/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
01/18/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NatWest Group on January 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NatWest Group PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in NatWest Group over 360 days. NatWest Group is related to or competes with Nordea Bank, Oversea Chinese, Nordea Bank, Overseas Chinese, Crdit Agricole, Barclays PLC, and Standard Chartered. NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to personal, com... More

NatWest Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NatWest Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NatWest Group PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NatWest Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NatWest Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NatWest Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NatWest Group historical prices to predict the future NatWest Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.778.7611.75
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.488.4711.46
Details

NatWest Group PLC Backtested Returns

NatWest Group appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. NatWest Group PLC has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for NatWest Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise NatWest Group's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0772, downside deviation of 2.75, and Mean Deviation of 2.36 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, NatWest Group holds a performance score of 9. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.76, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NatWest Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NatWest Group is expected to be smaller as well. Please check NatWest Group's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether NatWest Group's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

NatWest Group PLC has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NatWest Group time series from 23rd of January 2025 to 22nd of July 2025 and 22nd of July 2025 to 18th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NatWest Group PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current NatWest Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.42

NatWest Group PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NatWest Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NatWest Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NatWest Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NatWest Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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NatWest Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NatWest Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NatWest Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NatWest Group pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NatWest Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating NatWest Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NatWest Group pink sheet have on its future price. NatWest Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NatWest Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between NatWest Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NatWest Group PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NatWest Pink Sheet

When determining whether NatWest Group PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze NatWest Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NatWest Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NatWest Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out NatWest Group Correlation, NatWest Group Volatility and NatWest Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NatWest Group.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
NatWest Group technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of NatWest Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of NatWest Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...