Royce Dividend Value Fund Market Value

RDVIX Fund  USD 7.54  0.07  0.94%   
Royce Dividend's market value is the price at which a share of Royce Dividend trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Royce Dividend Value investors about its performance. Royce Dividend is trading at 7.54 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.94 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Royce Dividend Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Royce Dividend over a given investment horizon. Check out Royce Dividend Correlation, Royce Dividend Volatility and Royce Dividend Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Royce Dividend.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Royce Dividend's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Royce Dividend is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royce Dividend's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Royce Dividend 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Royce Dividend's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Royce Dividend.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Royce Dividend on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Royce Dividend Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Royce Dividend over 30 days. Royce Dividend is related to or competes with Touchstone Small, Baird Small/mid, Ancora/thelen Small-mid, Ab Small, Chartwell Small, Artisan Small, and M3sixty Capital. Royce Associates, LP , the funds investment adviser, invests the funds assets primarily in dividend-paying equity securi... More

Royce Dividend Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Royce Dividend's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Royce Dividend Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Royce Dividend Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Royce Dividend's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Royce Dividend's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Royce Dividend historical prices to predict the future Royce Dividend's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.537.608.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.357.428.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.307.378.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.167.367.56
Details

Royce Dividend Value Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider ROYCE Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Royce Dividend Value maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Royce Dividend Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Royce Dividend's Semi Deviation of 0.6138, risk adjusted performance of 0.1232, and Coefficient Of Variation of 637.19 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.28, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royce Dividend will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Royce Dividend Value has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Royce Dividend time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Royce Dividend Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Royce Dividend price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Royce Dividend Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Royce Dividend mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Royce Dividend's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Royce Dividend returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Royce Dividend has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Royce Dividend regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Royce Dividend mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Royce Dividend mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Royce Dividend mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Royce Dividend Lagged Returns

When evaluating Royce Dividend's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Royce Dividend mutual fund have on its future price. Royce Dividend autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Royce Dividend autocorrelation shows the relationship between Royce Dividend mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Royce Dividend Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ROYCE Mutual Fund

Royce Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROYCE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROYCE with respect to the benefits of owning Royce Dividend security.
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