Renuka City (Sri Lanka) Market Value

RENUN0000  LKR 399.25  9.25  2.37%   
Renuka City's market value is the price at which a share of Renuka City trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Renuka City Hotel investors about its performance. Renuka City is trading at 399.25 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 2.37 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 390.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Renuka City Hotel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Renuka City over a given investment horizon. Check out Renuka City Correlation, Renuka City Volatility and Renuka City Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Renuka City.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Renuka City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Renuka City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Renuka City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Renuka City 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Renuka City's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Renuka City.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Renuka City on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Renuka City Hotel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Renuka City over 720 days. More

Renuka City Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Renuka City's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Renuka City Hotel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Renuka City Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Renuka City's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Renuka City's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Renuka City historical prices to predict the future Renuka City's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
397.03399.25401.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
365.37367.59439.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
405.62407.84410.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
346.41375.61404.82
Details

Renuka City Hotel Backtested Returns

Renuka City appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Renuka City Hotel maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0893, which implies the firm had a 0.0893% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Renuka City Hotel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Renuka City's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0593, semi deviation of 1.16, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1438.51 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Renuka City holds a performance score of 7. The company holds a Beta of 0.34, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Renuka City's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Renuka City is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Renuka City's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Renuka City's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.21  

Weak predictability

Renuka City Hotel has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Renuka City time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Renuka City Hotel price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Renuka City price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.21
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance225.18

Renuka City Hotel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Renuka City stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Renuka City's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Renuka City returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Renuka City has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Renuka City regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Renuka City stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Renuka City stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Renuka City stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Renuka City Lagged Returns

When evaluating Renuka City's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Renuka City stock have on its future price. Renuka City autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Renuka City autocorrelation shows the relationship between Renuka City stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Renuka City Hotel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Renuka Stock

Renuka City financial ratios help investors to determine whether Renuka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Renuka with respect to the benefits of owning Renuka City security.