Riocan Reit Stock Market Value

RIOCF Stock  USD 13.45  0.26  1.90%   
Riocan REIT's market value is the price at which a share of Riocan REIT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Riocan REIT investors about its performance. Riocan REIT is trading at 13.45 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 1.9 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 13.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Riocan REIT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Riocan REIT over a given investment horizon. Check out Riocan REIT Correlation, Riocan REIT Volatility and Riocan REIT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Riocan REIT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Riocan REIT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riocan REIT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riocan REIT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Riocan REIT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riocan REIT's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riocan REIT.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Riocan REIT on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riocan REIT or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riocan REIT over 30 days. Riocan REIT is related to or competes with Choice Properties, CT Real, Firm Capital, Slate Grocery, Smart REIT, Plaza Retail, and Phillips Edison. RioCan is one of Canadas largest real estate investment trusts More

Riocan REIT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riocan REIT's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riocan REIT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Riocan REIT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riocan REIT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riocan REIT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riocan REIT historical prices to predict the future Riocan REIT's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Riocan REIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0113.4514.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2211.6514.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9813.4214.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2213.9014.59
Details

Riocan REIT Backtested Returns

Riocan REIT maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0105, which implies the firm had a -0.0105% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Riocan REIT exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Riocan REIT's Coefficient Of Variation of 2002.49, risk adjusted performance of 0.0428, and Semi Deviation of 1.25 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.27, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Riocan REIT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Riocan REIT is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Riocan REIT has a negative expected return of -0.0152%. Please make sure to check Riocan REIT's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Riocan REIT performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Riocan REIT has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riocan REIT time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riocan REIT price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Riocan REIT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Riocan REIT lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Riocan REIT pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Riocan REIT's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Riocan REIT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Riocan REIT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Riocan REIT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Riocan REIT pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Riocan REIT pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Riocan REIT pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Riocan REIT Lagged Returns

When evaluating Riocan REIT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Riocan REIT pink sheet have on its future price. Riocan REIT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Riocan REIT autocorrelation shows the relationship between Riocan REIT pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Riocan REIT.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Riocan Pink Sheet

Riocan REIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Riocan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Riocan with respect to the benefits of owning Riocan REIT security.