Capital Income Builder Fund Market Value

RIRFX Fund  USD 72.45  0.29  0.40%   
Capital Income's market value is the price at which a share of Capital Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capital Income Builder investors about its performance. Capital Income is trading at 72.45 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.4% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 72.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capital Income Builder and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capital Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Capital Income Correlation, Capital Income Volatility and Capital Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital Income.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital Income on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital Income Builder or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital Income over 30 days. Capital Income is related to or competes with Income Fund, New World, American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, and Income Fund. The fund normally will invest at least 90 percent of its assets in income-producing securities More

Capital Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital Income Builder upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital Income historical prices to predict the future Capital Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.0372.4572.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0972.5172.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
71.5371.9572.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.9772.3272.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital Income Builder.

Capital Income Builder Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Capital Mutual Fund to be very steady. Capital Income Builder secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0016, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0016% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Capital Income Builder, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Capital Income's Downside Deviation of 0.4454, risk adjusted performance of 0.0121, and Mean Deviation of 0.3419 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 7.0E-4%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0155, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Capital Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Capital Income is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Capital Income Builder has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital Income time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital Income Builder price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Capital Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

Capital Income Builder lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capital Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capital Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capital Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capital Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capital Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capital Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capital Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capital Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capital Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capital Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capital Income mutual fund have on its future price. Capital Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capital Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capital Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capital Income Builder.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Income security.
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