River Tech (Norway) Market Value
| RIVER Stock | NOK 17.00 1.20 7.59% |
| Symbol | River |
River Tech 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to River Tech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of River Tech.
| 10/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in River Tech on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding River Tech plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in River Tech over 30 days. River Tech is related to or competes with Huddlestock Fintech, Xplora Technologies, Ocean Sun, and Polight ASA. River Tech p.l.c., a technology company, provides software solution services More
River Tech Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure River Tech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess River Tech plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.67 |
River Tech Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for River Tech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as River Tech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use River Tech historical prices to predict the future River Tech's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.63) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.14) |
River Tech plc Backtested Returns
River Tech plc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.13, which implies the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. River Tech plc exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check River Tech's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), variance of 16.07, and Coefficient Of Variation of (680.12) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.28, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, River Tech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding River Tech is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, River Tech plc has a negative expected return of -0.54%. Please make sure to check River Tech's potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and period momentum indicator , to decide if River Tech plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
River Tech plc has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between River Tech time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of River Tech plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current River Tech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.54 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.85 |
River Tech plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is River Tech stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting River Tech's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of River Tech returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that River Tech has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
River Tech regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If River Tech stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if River Tech stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in River Tech stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
River Tech Lagged Returns
When evaluating River Tech's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of River Tech stock have on its future price. River Tech autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, River Tech autocorrelation shows the relationship between River Tech stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in River Tech plc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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River Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether River Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in River with respect to the benefits of owning River Tech security.