Aspiriant Defensive Allocation Fund Market Value

RMDFX Fund  USD 10.91  0.02  0.18%   
Aspiriant Defensive's market value is the price at which a share of Aspiriant Defensive trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aspiriant Defensive Allocation investors about its performance. Aspiriant Defensive is trading at 10.91 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 0.18 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.89.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aspiriant Defensive Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aspiriant Defensive over a given investment horizon. Check out Aspiriant Defensive Correlation, Aspiriant Defensive Volatility and Aspiriant Defensive Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aspiriant Defensive.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspiriant Defensive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aspiriant Defensive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspiriant Defensive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aspiriant Defensive 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aspiriant Defensive.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aspiriant Defensive on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aspiriant Defensive Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aspiriant Defensive over 720 days. Aspiriant Defensive is related to or competes with Aspiriant Risk-managed, Aspiriant Risk-managed, Aspiriant Risk-managed, Fidelity Global, Fidelity Advisor, and Westwood Largecap. The fund is a fund-of-funds that seeks to provide an investment return that has lower volatility than traditional asset ... More

Aspiriant Defensive Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aspiriant Defensive Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aspiriant Defensive Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aspiriant Defensive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aspiriant Defensive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aspiriant Defensive historical prices to predict the future Aspiriant Defensive's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6810.9111.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6910.9211.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7110.9411.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8610.9010.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aspiriant Defensive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aspiriant Defensive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aspiriant Defensive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aspiriant Defensive.

Aspiriant Defensive Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aspiriant Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aspiriant Defensive secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0136, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0136% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Aspiriant Defensive Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aspiriant Defensive's Standard Deviation of 0.2349, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 0.1513 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0031%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0787, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aspiriant Defensive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aspiriant Defensive is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Aspiriant Defensive Allocation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aspiriant Defensive time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aspiriant Defensive price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Aspiriant Defensive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Aspiriant Defensive lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aspiriant Defensive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aspiriant Defensive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aspiriant Defensive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aspiriant Defensive Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aspiriant Defensive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund have on its future price. Aspiriant Defensive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aspiriant Defensive autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aspiriant Defensive mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aspiriant Defensive Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aspiriant Mutual Fund

Aspiriant Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aspiriant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aspiriant with respect to the benefits of owning Aspiriant Defensive security.
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