Aspiriant Defensive Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RMDFX Fund  USD 12.66  0.03  0.24%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aspiriant Defensive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aspiriant Defensive is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aspiriant Defensive Allocation are ranked lower than 32 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Aspiriant Defensive may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026.
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Aspiriant Defensive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,169  in Aspiriant Defensive Allocation on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  97.00  from holding Aspiriant Defensive Allocation or generate 8.3% return on investment over 90 days. Aspiriant Defensive Allocation is currently producing 0.1292% returns and takes up 0.3181% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Aspiriant, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aspiriant Defensive is expected to generate 0.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.37 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.41 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Aspiriant Defensive Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
12.66
Please note that Aspiriant Defensive's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Aspiriant Defensive shows a prevailing Real Value of $12.54 per share. The current price of the fund is $12.66. We determine the value of Aspiriant Defensive from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Aspiriant Defensive is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aspiriant Mutual Fund. However, Aspiriant Defensive's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.66 Real  12.54 Hype  12.66 Naive  12.72
The intrinsic value of Aspiriant Defensive's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aspiriant Defensive's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.54
Real Value
12.86
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aspiriant Defensive Allocation helps investors to forecast how Aspiriant mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aspiriant Defensive more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aspiriant Defensive's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6612.6612.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3412.6612.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.4012.7213.04
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Aspiriant Defensive Allocation extending back to December 15, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Aspiriant Defensive stands at 12.66, as last reported on the 1st of March, with the highest price reaching 12.66 and the lowest price hitting 12.66 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Aspiriant Defensive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aspiriant Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.66 90 days 12.66 
nearly 4.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aspiriant Defensive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.49 (This Aspiriant Defensive Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Aspiriant Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aspiriant Defensive has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Aspiriant Defensive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aspiriant Defensive Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aspiriant Defensive Allocation has an alpha of 0.1194, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aspiriant Defensive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aspiriant Defensive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspiriant Defensive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3412.6612.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2212.5412.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4012.7213.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6612.6612.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aspiriant Defensive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aspiriant Defensive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aspiriant Defensive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aspiriant Defensive.

Aspiriant Defensive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aspiriant Defensive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aspiriant Defensive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aspiriant Defensive Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aspiriant Defensive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Aspiriant Defensive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aspiriant Defensive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aspiriant Defensive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aspiriant is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund maintains about 16.7% of its assets in cash

Aspiriant Defensive Fundamentals Growth

Aspiriant Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aspiriant Defensive, and Aspiriant Defensive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aspiriant Mutual Fund performance.

About Aspiriant Defensive Performance

Evaluating Aspiriant Defensive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Aspiriant Defensive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aspiriant Defensive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund is a fund-of-funds that seeks to provide an investment return that has lower volatility than traditional asset classes by combining several non-traditional or alternative asset class exposures, including investments that focus on a specialized asset class such as long-short strategies. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Aspiriant Defensive performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aspiriant Defensive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Aspiriant Defensive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aspiriant is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund maintains about 16.7% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Aspiriant Defensive's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Aspiriant Defensive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aspiriant Defensive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aspiriant Defensive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aspiriant Defensive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aspiriant Defensive's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Aspiriant Defensive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aspiriant Defensive's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aspiriant Mutual Fund

Aspiriant Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aspiriant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aspiriant with respect to the benefits of owning Aspiriant Defensive security.
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