Victory Tax Exempt Fund Market Value

RSTYX Fund  USD 8.38  0.01  0.12%   
Victory Tax-exempt's market value is the price at which a share of Victory Tax-exempt trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Victory Tax Exempt Fund investors about its performance. Victory Tax-exempt is trading at 8.38 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 0.12% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Victory Tax Exempt Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Victory Tax-exempt over a given investment horizon. Check out Victory Tax-exempt Correlation, Victory Tax-exempt Volatility and Victory Tax-exempt Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Victory Tax-exempt.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory Tax-exempt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victory Tax-exempt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory Tax-exempt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Victory Tax-exempt 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Victory Tax-exempt's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Victory Tax-exempt.
0.00
02/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Victory Tax-exempt on February 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Victory Tax Exempt Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Victory Tax-exempt over 720 days. Victory Tax-exempt is related to or competes with Gmo High, Aggressive Balanced, Ab High, Artisan High, Mesirow Financial, and Fidelity Focused. The fund invests primarily in investment-grade municipal obligations, the interest on which is, in the opinion of the is... More

Victory Tax-exempt Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Victory Tax-exempt's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Victory Tax Exempt Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Victory Tax-exempt Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Victory Tax-exempt's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Victory Tax-exempt's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Victory Tax-exempt historical prices to predict the future Victory Tax-exempt's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Tax-exempt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.998.388.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.018.408.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.038.428.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.208.458.70
Details

Victory Tax Exempt Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider VICTORY Mutual Fund to be very steady. Victory Tax Exempt owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Victory Tax Exempt Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Victory Tax-exempt's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), variance of 0.1757, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,028) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0028%. The entity has a beta of 0.1, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Victory Tax-exempt's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Victory Tax-exempt is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

Victory Tax Exempt Fund has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Victory Tax-exempt time series from 3rd of February 2023 to 29th of January 2024 and 29th of January 2024 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Victory Tax Exempt price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Victory Tax-exempt price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Victory Tax Exempt lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Victory Tax-exempt's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Victory Tax-exempt returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Victory Tax-exempt has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Victory Tax-exempt regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Victory Tax-exempt Lagged Returns

When evaluating Victory Tax-exempt's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund have on its future price. Victory Tax-exempt autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Victory Tax-exempt autocorrelation shows the relationship between Victory Tax-exempt mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Victory Tax Exempt Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in VICTORY Mutual Fund

Victory Tax-exempt financial ratios help investors to determine whether VICTORY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VICTORY with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Tax-exempt security.
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