Rex Trueform (South Africa) Market Value

RTN Stock   1,172  4.00  0.34%   
Rex Trueform's market value is the price at which a share of Rex Trueform trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Rex Trueform Group investors about its performance. Rex Trueform is trading at 1172.00 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.34 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1168.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Rex Trueform Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Rex Trueform over a given investment horizon. Check out Rex Trueform Correlation, Rex Trueform Volatility and Rex Trueform Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Rex Trueform.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Rex Trueform's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rex Trueform is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rex Trueform's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Rex Trueform 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rex Trueform's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rex Trueform.
0.00
12/07/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Rex Trueform on December 7, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rex Trueform Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rex Trueform over 720 days. Rex Trueform is related to or competes with Mr Price, Truworths International, Rex Trueform. More

Rex Trueform Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rex Trueform's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rex Trueform Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Rex Trueform Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rex Trueform's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rex Trueform's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rex Trueform historical prices to predict the future Rex Trueform's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1701,1721,174
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0181,0201,289
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1581,1601,162
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1661,1691,172
Details

Rex Trueform Group Backtested Returns

Rex Trueform Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0958, which implies the firm had a -0.0958% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Rex Trueform Group exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Rex Trueform's Variance of 3.71, risk adjusted performance of 0.0496, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1760.22 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.18, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Rex Trueform's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rex Trueform is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Rex Trueform Group has a negative expected return of -0.097%. Please make sure to check Rex Trueform's mean deviation, information ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Rex Trueform Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Rex Trueform Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rex Trueform time series from 7th of December 2022 to 2nd of December 2023 and 2nd of December 2023 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rex Trueform Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Rex Trueform price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance24.8 K

Rex Trueform Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Rex Trueform stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Rex Trueform's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Rex Trueform returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Rex Trueform has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Rex Trueform regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Rex Trueform stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Rex Trueform stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Rex Trueform stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Rex Trueform Lagged Returns

When evaluating Rex Trueform's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Rex Trueform stock have on its future price. Rex Trueform autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Rex Trueform autocorrelation shows the relationship between Rex Trueform stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Rex Trueform Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Rex Stock

Rex Trueform financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rex with respect to the benefits of owning Rex Trueform security.