Rival Technologies Stock Market Value
| RVTI Stock | USD 0.05 0.44 89.80% |
| Symbol | Rival |
Rival Technologies 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rival Technologies' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rival Technologies.
| 12/03/2024 |
| 02/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Rival Technologies on December 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rival Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rival Technologies over 60 days. Rival Technologies is related to or competes with Grande Portage, Gold Fields, IAMGold, Coeur Mining, AngloGold Ashanti, and Kinross Gold. Rival Technologies, Inc. is engaged in the development and sale of ground breaking process for upgrading bitumen and hea... More
Rival Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rival Technologies' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rival Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.1525 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1939.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.41 |
Rival Technologies Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rival Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rival Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rival Technologies historical prices to predict the future Rival Technologies' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1381 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 38.93 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 17.83 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (5.36) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rival Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rival Technologies Backtested Returns
Rival Technologies is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Rival Technologies maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the firm had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 27.21% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Rival Technologies Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1381, coefficient of variation of 654.5, and Variance of 63309.98 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Rival Technologies holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of -7.17, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rival Technologies are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Rival Technologies is expected to outperform it. Use Rival Technologies variance, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to analyze future returns on Rival Technologies.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Rival Technologies has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rival Technologies time series from 3rd of December 2024 to 2nd of January 2025 and 2nd of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rival Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Rival Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Rival Technologies lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Rival Technologies pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Rival Technologies' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Rival Technologies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Rival Technologies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Rival Technologies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Rival Technologies pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Rival Technologies pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Rival Technologies pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Rival Technologies Lagged Returns
When evaluating Rival Technologies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Rival Technologies pink sheet have on its future price. Rival Technologies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Rival Technologies autocorrelation shows the relationship between Rival Technologies pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Rival Technologies.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
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Other Information on Investing in Rival Pink Sheet
Rival Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rival Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rival with respect to the benefits of owning Rival Technologies security.