Inverse Mid Cap Strategy Fund Market Value

RYAGX Fund  USD 45.04  0.74  1.62%   
Inverse Mid-cap's market value is the price at which a share of Inverse Mid-cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inverse Mid Cap Strategy investors about its performance. Inverse Mid-cap is trading at 45.04 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.62% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 45.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inverse Mid Cap Strategy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inverse Mid-cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Inverse Mid-cap Correlation, Inverse Mid-cap Volatility and Inverse Mid-cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inverse Mid-cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Inverse Mid-cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inverse Mid-cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inverse Mid-cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inverse Mid-cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inverse Mid-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inverse Mid-cap.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inverse Mid-cap on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inverse Mid Cap Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inverse Mid-cap over 30 days. Inverse Mid-cap is related to or competes with Eic Value, Archer Balanced, Small Cap, Balanced Fund, Qs Us, Ips Strategic, and Qs Global. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in financial in... More

Inverse Mid-cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inverse Mid-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inverse Mid Cap Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inverse Mid-cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inverse Mid-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inverse Mid-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inverse Mid-cap historical prices to predict the future Inverse Mid-cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.0745.0446.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.0742.0449.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.0546.0247.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.5945.2945.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inverse Mid-cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inverse Mid-cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inverse Mid-cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inverse Mid Cap.

Inverse Mid Cap Backtested Returns

Inverse Mid Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Inverse Mid Cap exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Inverse Mid-cap's Standard Deviation of 0.994, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1278, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.16, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Inverse Mid-cap are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Inverse Mid-cap is expected to outperform it.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Inverse Mid Cap Strategy has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inverse Mid-cap time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inverse Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Inverse Mid-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.48

Inverse Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inverse Mid-cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inverse Mid-cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inverse Mid-cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Inverse Mid-cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Inverse Mid-cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inverse Mid-cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund have on its future price. Inverse Mid-cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inverse Mid-cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inverse Mid-cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inverse Mid Cap Strategy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Inverse Mutual Fund

Inverse Mid-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inverse Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inverse with respect to the benefits of owning Inverse Mid-cap security.
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