Basic Materials Fund Market Value

RYBIX Fund  USD 90.94  0.54  0.60%   
Basic Materials' market value is the price at which a share of Basic Materials trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Basic Materials Fund investors about its performance. Basic Materials is trading at 90.94 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.60 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 90.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Basic Materials Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Basic Materials over a given investment horizon. Check out Basic Materials Correlation, Basic Materials Volatility and Basic Materials Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Basic Materials.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Basic Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Basic Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Basic Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Basic Materials 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Basic Materials' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Basic Materials.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Basic Materials on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Basic Materials Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Basic Materials over 30 days. Basic Materials is related to or competes with Energy Fund, Energy Services, Health Care, Banking Fund, and Financial Services. The fund invests substantially all of its net assets in equity securities of Basic Materials Companies that are traded i... More

Basic Materials Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Basic Materials' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Basic Materials Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Basic Materials Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Basic Materials' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Basic Materials' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Basic Materials historical prices to predict the future Basic Materials' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.9490.9491.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.0890.0891.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.6590.6491.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.2988.9491.60
Details

Basic Materials Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Basic Mutual Fund to be very steady. Basic Materials secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0924, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0924% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Basic Materials Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Basic Materials' Mean Deviation of 0.7723, downside deviation of 0.9611, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0571 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0921%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.87, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Basic Materials returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Basic Materials is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Basic Materials Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Basic Materials time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Basic Materials price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Basic Materials price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.55

Basic Materials lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Basic Materials mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Basic Materials' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Basic Materials returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Basic Materials has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Basic Materials regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Basic Materials mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Basic Materials mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Basic Materials mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Basic Materials Lagged Returns

When evaluating Basic Materials' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Basic Materials mutual fund have on its future price. Basic Materials autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Basic Materials autocorrelation shows the relationship between Basic Materials mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Basic Materials Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Basic Mutual Fund

Basic Materials financial ratios help investors to determine whether Basic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Basic with respect to the benefits of owning Basic Materials security.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities