Americafirst Large Cap Fund Market Value
| SBQUX Fund | USD 13.78 0.10 0.73% |
| Symbol | Americafirst |
Americafirst Large 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Americafirst Large's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Americafirst Large.
| 11/30/2023 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Americafirst Large on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Americafirst Large Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Americafirst Large over 360 days. Americafirst Large is related to or competes with Americafirst Monthly, Americafirst Tactical, Americafirst Tactical, Americafirst Income, Americafirst Income, Americafirst Income, and Americafirst Defensive. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of companies that are selected using the investment advisors alpha trends fa... More
Americafirst Large Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Americafirst Large's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Americafirst Large Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9609 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0383 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.89 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.35 |
Americafirst Large Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Americafirst Large's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Americafirst Large's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Americafirst Large historical prices to predict the future Americafirst Large's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.138 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.034 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0088 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0375 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1542 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Americafirst Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Americafirst Large Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Americafirst Mutual Fund to be very steady. Americafirst Large Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the fund had a 0.17% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Americafirst Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Americafirst Large's risk adjusted performance of 0.138, and Mean Deviation of 0.6506 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.02, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Americafirst Large returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Americafirst Large is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
Americafirst Large Cap has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Americafirst Large time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Americafirst Large Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Americafirst Large price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Americafirst Large Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Americafirst Large mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Americafirst Large's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Americafirst Large returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Americafirst Large has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Americafirst Large regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Americafirst Large mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Americafirst Large mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Americafirst Large mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Americafirst Large Lagged Returns
When evaluating Americafirst Large's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Americafirst Large mutual fund have on its future price. Americafirst Large autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Americafirst Large autocorrelation shows the relationship between Americafirst Large mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Americafirst Large Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Americafirst Mutual Fund
Americafirst Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Americafirst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Americafirst with respect to the benefits of owning Americafirst Large security.
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk |