SCE Trust's market value is the price at which a share of SCE Trust trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SCE Trust II investors about its performance. SCE Trust is trading at 17.60 as of the 1st of February 2025. This is a 2.11% down since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 17.6. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SCE Trust II and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SCE Trust over a given investment horizon. Check out SCE Trust Correlation, SCE Trust Volatility and SCE Trust Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SCE Trust.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SCE Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SCE Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SCE Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
SCE Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SCE Trust's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SCE Trust.
0.00
08/05/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 5 months and 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in SCE Trust on August 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SCE Trust II or generate 0.0% return on investment in SCE Trust over 180 days. SCE Trust is related to or competes with SCE Trust, SCE Trust, SCE Trust, and Capital One. More
SCE Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SCE Trust's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SCE Trust II upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SCE Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SCE Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SCE Trust historical prices to predict the future SCE Trust's volatility.
SCE Trust II owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which indicates the company had a -0.16 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. SCE Trust II exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SCE Trust's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), standard deviation of 1.53, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.51) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The firm has a beta of 0.41, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SCE Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SCE Trust is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, SCE Trust II has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to validate SCE Trust's jensen alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if SCE Trust II performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation
-0.63
Very good reverse predictability
SCE Trust II has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SCE Trust time series from 5th of August 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SCE Trust II price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current SCE Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.63
Spearman Rank Test
-0.7
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
1.28
SCE Trust II lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is SCE Trust preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SCE Trust's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SCE Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SCE Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
SCE Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SCE Trust preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SCE Trust preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SCE Trust preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
SCE Trust Lagged Returns
When evaluating SCE Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SCE Trust preferred stock have on its future price. SCE Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SCE Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between SCE Trust preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SCE Trust II.
Other Information on Investing in SCE Preferred Stock
SCE Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCE Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCE with respect to the benefits of owning SCE Trust security.